{
  "$schema": "../../schemas/hypothesis.schema.json",
  "schema_version": "1.0.0",
  "id": "EDC-H-0001",
  "title": "Does density deserve priority in the first selected service?",
  "status": "unresolved",
  "evidence_kind": "hypothesis",
  "statement": "In a preregistered service, an intervention increasing usable installed-system energy density improves the binding constraint more than the best feasible non-density alternative without violating agreed safeguards.",
  "scope": {
    "service": null,
    "beneficiary": null,
    "functional_unit": null,
    "geography": null,
    "time_horizon": null,
    "system_boundary": null,
    "missing_reason": "The first framing audit must select and register a bounded case."
  },
  "baseline": null,
  "alternatives": [
    "best feasible existing option",
    "efficiency or service redesign",
    "infrastructure or operational improvement"
  ],
  "mechanism": "A storage mass or volume constraint may limit the delivered service. Whether it binds is to be investigated.",
  "assumptions": [
    "The selected service can be compared at fixed quality and reliability.",
    "Comparable lifecycle data and feasible alternatives can be obtained."
  ],
  "prediction": null,
  "thresholds": null,
  "falsifier": "Within the registered scope, density fails the minimum improvement threshold, violates a hard constraint, or is robustly dominated by a feasible comparator. Missing or incomparable evidence leaves the claim unresolved.",
  "evidence": [],
  "experiment_ids": [
    "EDC-E-0001"
  ],
  "result_ids": [],
  "replications": [],
  "confidence": {
    "value": null,
    "basis": "No study completed; no calibrated probability."
  },
  "confidence_history": [
    {
      "date": "2026-09-10",
      "status": "unresolved",
      "reason": "Service, thresholds and comparisons remain unregistered."
    }
  ],
  "signal": [],
  "noise": [
    "measurement error",
    "different duty cycles",
    "model uncertainty",
    "boundary mismatch"
  ],
  "bias": [
    "title anchoring",
    "publication bias",
    "shared AI sources",
    "selection of favorable applications"
  ],
  "unknowns": [
    "binding constraint",
    "comparators",
    "thresholds",
    "lifecycle data"
  ],
  "unknown_unknown_exposure": "Unrepresented affected groups, excluded supply chains and changes in service demand.",
  "safety": "Desk research only in the initial audit. Any hazardous physical work requires qualified professional review.",
  "last_updated": "2026-09-10"
}